{"id":1975,"date":"2016-06-21T15:08:40","date_gmt":"2016-06-21T15:08:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/factcheckni.org\/?p=1975"},"modified":"2022-02-27T22:54:19","modified_gmt":"2022-02-27T22:54:19","slug":"do-38-of-students-have-to-leave-northern-ireland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/factcheckni.org\/topics\/education\/do-38-of-students-have-to-leave-northern-ireland\/","title":{"rendered":"Do 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Most recent data show a third (33.5%) of school leavers continue studies outside Northern Ireland. While public investment policy in further education is a significant factor, others must be considered, such as the desire and ability to take up opportunities elsewhere. Thus it is misleading to say that 38% have to leave; some leave because they wish to.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In an article published by the Belfast Telegraph<\/a> on 30th May 2016, Vice-Chancellor Patrick Johnston stated: \u201cSome 38% of students have to leave Northern Ireland at the age of 18; that\u2019s a really serious situation for any society because in particular your most talented people are leaving.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Queen\u2019s University Belfast replied that they obtained the figure of 38% from a Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS) End of Cycle Report 2015<\/a>(Northern Ireland (NI) students to Great Britain (GB)) and the Higher Education Authority<\/a> (Northern Ireland students to Ireland). Using these two sources, for 2014-15, we calculated a figure of Northern Ireland student acceptances to Great Britain and Ireland at 39.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UCAS provide data from 2006-2015<\/a>, which shows a pattern of student acceptances to Great Britain higher education institutions running between 31-38% per year:
\"\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 Year<\/th> Leaving %<\/th> Acceptance (to GB)<\/th> Leaving (to GB)<\/th><\/tr>
2006<\/td>35.00%<\/td>12,385<\/td>4,335<\/td><\/tr>
2007<\/td>33.99%<\/td>13,005<\/td>4,420<\/td><\/tr>
2008<\/td>32.91%<\/td>13,430<\/td>4,420<\/td><\/tr>
2009<\/td>31.63%<\/td>13,595<\/td>4,300<\/td><\/tr>
2010<\/td>34.62%<\/td>13,505<\/td>4,675<\/td><\/tr>
2011<\/td>37.35%<\/td>13,790<\/td>5,150<\/td><\/tr>
2012<\/td>32.08%<\/td>13,280<\/td>4,260<\/td><\/tr>
2013<\/td>31.23%<\/td>14,555<\/td>4,545<\/td><\/tr>
2014<\/td>31.82%<\/td>14,455<\/td>4,600<\/td><\/tr>
2015<\/td>36.51%<\/td>14,050<\/td>5,130<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Source: https:\/\/www.ucas.com\/sites\/default\/files\/eoc_data_resource_2015-dr3_006_01.pdf?beta=1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Acceptances are different than enrolment. Figures from NISRA published in May 2016<\/a> indicate that of the total 9,459 school leavers in Northern Ireland in the 2014-2015 period pursuing further education, 6,289 (66.5%) continued their studies at a Northern Ireland institution, whereas 2,866 (30.3%) students made the move to an institution in Great Britain, and the remaining 304 (3.2%) moved outside of the United Kingdom (UK) for higher education (i.e. 33.5% leave Northern Ireland).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the Belfast Telegraph article, Mr Johnston blamed declining government investment in higher education, describing the reduction in its subsidy from the Northern Ireland Executive between 2010-2014 as a 24% cut in real terms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Similarly, cuts to the education budget (\u00a389 million in the 2010\/11 academic year to \u00a370.7 million for this year<\/a>) have also led to Ulster University\u2019s plans to cut student numbers by 1,200 and staff by 210. Consequently, there have also been plans to discontinue over 50 undergraduate degree courses<\/a> through Ulster University\u2019s four campuses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Education budget cuts are being experienced also in Scotland<\/a>, while in Wales, \u00a331 million of planned cuts were reversed<\/a> by its finance minister. Overall in the UK, public spending in education has proportionately increased for primary and secondary schools, and decreased for higher education<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is important to look at other factors influencing the emigration of students.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2008, the Equality Commission for Northern Ireland commissioned a review<\/a> on key patterns and drivers of education migration in Northern Ireland. The review found that about 30% were regularly leaving Northern Ireland annually (for example see p. 26<\/a> and p. 28<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The review also highlighted a finding<\/a> by the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) that middle-class families have been better able to take advantage of increasing educational opportunities; and that working-class children and families\u2019 decision making is affected by a range of factors such as risk aversion, which make them more conservative in the choices that they make.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And the changes in student financing<\/a> will affect migration behaviour.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mr Johnston\u2019s quoted figure of 38% is within the recent range of Northern Ireland students being accepted\/enrolling in higher education institutions in Great Britain and Ireland.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is misleading to say that 38% of students have<\/em> to leave Northern Ireland for further education. Government policy will directly impact some students, but other factors influence this decision, including one\u2019s socio-economic status and own volition to seek opportunities elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Image: “Student Studying” by UBC Learning Commons licensed by CC BY 2.0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

FactCheckNI is Northern Ireland\u2019s first and only dedicated independent fact-checking service and a verified signatory<\/a> to the International Fact-Checking Network’s Code of Principles<\/a>. You can learn more about about FactCheckNI<\/a>, our personnel<\/a>, what our article verdicts<\/a> mean, and how to submit a claim<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Most recent data show a third (33.5%) of school leavers continue studies outside Northern Ireland. While public investment policy in further education is a significant factor, others must be considered, such as the desire and ability to take up opportunities elsewhere. 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