Do half of freed criminals reoffend within a year?

CLAIM: “Almost half of criminals released from prison in Northern Ireland went on to re-offend within 12 months of being freed.”

CONCLUSION: The claim is accurate. However, while the article does break down re-offending rates among criminals released from prison, the majority of offenders receive sentences that do not require time in prison. The re-offending rate for Northern Ireland in 2012/13 was 18.5% for all offenders, which is similar to the rate documented in previous years, as well as in England & Wales. Continue reading Do half of freed criminals reoffend within a year?

Is crime on the rise in Northern Ireland?

CLAIM: Under an Alliance Minister of Justice, crime rates in Northern Ireland are lower.

CONCLUSION: According to PSNI reports, annual offences covering the relevant period are marginally higher (105,289 versus 105,040). Meanwhile, crime in Northern Ireland has been rising every year since 2012/13. Continue reading Is crime on the rise in Northern Ireland?

Has Northern Ireland’s legislation caused an 80% rise in sex workers in Ireland?

CLAIM: The number of sex workers in Ireland has increased by 80% since the ban in Northern Ireland.

CONCLUSION: While data on sex workers in Ireland is extremely lacking, the figures that are available and most commonly employed by experts do not support this claim. There is no official data documenting the movement of sex workers south across the border, but whatever the scale, an 80% impact in Ireland is unlikely. Continue reading Has Northern Ireland’s legislation caused an 80% rise in sex workers in Ireland?